Bradford – Bolton

Model: TIPPSA

Bradford vs Bolton

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.78
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 14, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 57d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.51% · n=382
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.72% · n=146
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 57d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bolton. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Bolton

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

20/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.66First seen
Current2.68Now
Max odds2.82Highest point
Min odds2.66Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BradfordHOME
VS
BoltonAWAY
LLWDD
Recent form
WWLDD
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.40
Shots on target for
1.60
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
2.40
2.40
Home splitL-D-D-L-W0.60 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitW-D-L-W1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.78. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.72% based on n=146 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England League 1 (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.78
V2 BandNONEROI -0.51% · n=382
V4 BandNONEROI -3.72% · n=146
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Bolton. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Bolton has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 30.5% 7D: 16.4% 15D: -3.9% 30D: -1.1%
Model insight

Bradford – Bolton Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.78. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.51% and -3.72%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample43
Win Rate41.9%
Profit+9.01u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSValur Reykjavik - Keflavik2.93-1.07%
WINBahir Dar Kenema FC - Wolaita Dicha2.82-1.07%
LOSSBelgrano (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)3.02-1.07%
LOSSBlacktown Spartans U20 - Bankstown City Lions U202.94-1.07%
LOSSDefensores de Belgrano VR - CA Douglas Haig2.86-1.07%
LOSSEgypt (W) - Tunisia (W)2.78-1.07%
Pick
2 @ 2.78
Kickoff
Mag 14, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.51% • n=382
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.72% • n=146
Start
Started 57d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 57d 11h ago
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