Montana vs Spartak Varna
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Montana. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: MontanaValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.44. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.54% based on n=136 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bulgaria First League (bg). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Montana – Spartak Varna Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Rouen - Laval | 2.29 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Aarau - Grasshoppers | 2.46 | -0.42% |
| WIN | Greuther Furth - Fortuna Dusseldorf | 2.59 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | F91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen | 2.38 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Padova U19 - Venezia U19 | 2.38 | -1.54% |
| WIN | Sport Boys - Cusco FC | 2.36 | -1.54% |
| WIN | FC Osaka Speranza (W) - Renofa Yamaguchi (W) | 2.50 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | St Gallen - FC Thun | 2.25 | -1.54% |