Model: TIPPSH
Real Zaragoza – Sporting Gijon
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.89
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 11:15 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 3
StartStarted 23d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 26d 1h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Real Zaragoza | Sporting Gijon |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-L-D | W-L-L-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-D-L (home) | W-L-L-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded | 1.40 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.80 for / 4.60 against | 4.20 for / 5.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.25 for / 4.75 against (home) | 3.80 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 23.5%
7D: 21.1%
15D: -2.1%
30D: 0.2%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.85First seen
Current1.89Now
Max odds1.89Highest point
Min odds1.85Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Real Zaragoza – Sporting Gijon Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.89. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample283
Win Rate50.9%
Profit-6.02u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Congo DR - Chile | 2.03 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Blacktown City U20 - Rockdale Ilinden FC U20 | 2.00 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Real Sociedad (W) - Atletico Madrid (W) | 2.03 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | IR Reykjavik - IF Vestri | 2.10 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Auckland FC II | 1.84 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Jadran Dekani - NK Krka | 1.91 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Colorado Switchbacks FC - Sacramento Republic | 1 | 1.97 | 3.37% | 14 Jun 03:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.89
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 11:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 23d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 26d 1h ago