Moreton City Excelsior U23 vs Lions FC U23
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Moreton City Excelsior U23. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Moreton City Excelsior U23Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.033 | A: 0.013Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.35. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia NPL Queensland U23 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Moreton City Excelsior U23 a useful statistical edge. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Moreton City Excelsior U23 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Moreton City Excelsior U23 – Lions FC U23 Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Oldham - Port Vale | 2.60 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Torslanda IK - Dalstorps IF | 2.35 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | ASD Pineto Calcio - Gubbio | 2.42 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Yarmouk - Al Salibikhaet SC | 2.33 | 2.49% |
| WIN | North Star - Caboolture FC | 2.29 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Bedford Town - Darlington 1883 | 2.56 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Rostov - Rubin Kazan | 2.20 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Barnet - Salford City | 2.38 | 3.15% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tabasalu FC Charma - JK Tallinna Kalev II | 1 | 2.31 | 2.49% | 16 Aug 14:00 |
| Cardiff - Wrexham | 1 | 2.42 | 2.49% | 17 Aug 21:00 |