Model: TIPPSH

NEC vs Olympiacos

PREDICTION

@ 2.70

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 11, 2026 9:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 14h

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.02% · n=29

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.02% · n=29

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 16m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is NEC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NECGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.049 | A: -0.069

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

71/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.70First seen

Current2.70Now

Max odds2.70Highest point

Min odds2.70Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NECHOME

OlympiacosAWAY

DLLWW

Recent form

DLLLW

Avg goals scored

2.20

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.60

Shots on target for

7.20

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

4.80

Home splitL-L-W-W-L2.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-W-D1.20 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.70. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 11.02% based on n=29 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Champions League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.70

V2 BandELITEROI 11.02% · n=29

V4 BandELITEROI 11.02% · n=29

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, NEC has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The ELITE confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to NEC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -6.1% 7D: 34.2% 15D: 6.0% 30D: 13.6%

Model insight

NEC – Olympiacos Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 11.02% and 11.02%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample12

Win Rate41.7%

Profit+1.03u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Valentine Phoenix - Charlestown Azzurri	2.46	8.94%
LOSS	Bangor Celtic FC - College Corinthians FC	2.55	8.94%
WIN	Heidelberg Utd U23 - Oakleigh Cannons U23	2.63	8.94%
WIN	Monterey Bay FC - El Paso Locomotive FC	2.51	8.94%
LOSS	Myanmar (W) - Uzbekistan (W)	2.45	11.02%
LOSS	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) - River Plate (W)	2.46	8.94%
LOSS	Racing Power (W) - Braga (W)	2.85	9.53%
WIN	Vysocina Jihlava U19 - Slovan Liberec U19	2.80	9.53%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Kispest Honved - MTK Budapest	1	2.54	8.94%	01 Aug 19:30
Toluca - Los Angeles FC	1	2.61	8.94%	09 Aug 05:10

Pick

1 @ 2.70

Kickoff

Ago 11, 2026 9:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 11.02% • n=29

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

11.02% • n=29

Start

Starts in 4d 14h

Updated

Updated 16m ago