SC Bastia – Le Puy

Model: TIPPSH

SC Bastia vs Le Puy

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.99
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 07, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 7h 30m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9h 39m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SC Bastia. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SC BastiaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.089 | A: -0.026

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

28/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.93First seen
Current1.99Now
Max odds2.08Highest point
Min odds1.87Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SC BastiaHOME
VS
Le PuyAWAY
LDDWL
Recent form
WLDWD
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.60
Defensive weakness
2.00
1.60
Shots on target for
5.20
2.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
4.40
Home splitL-D-L-W-D1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitW-L-D-W-D1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.99. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to France Ligue 3 (fr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.99
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. SC Bastia has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -22.1% 7D: 22.8% 15D: 3.3% 30D: 11.6%
Model insight

SC Bastia – Le Puy Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.99. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample545
Win Rate49.2%
Profit-18.56u
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Pick
1 @ 1.99
Kickoff
Ago 07, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 7h 30m ago
Updated
Updated 9h 39m ago
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