SC Bastia vs Le Puy
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is SC Bastia. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: SC BastiaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.089 | A: -0.026Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.99. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to France Ligue 3 (fr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. SC Bastia has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
SC Bastia – Le Puy Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | VG-62 - MaPS | 2.06 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Gold Coast United (W) - Capalaba (W) | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Maipu | 1.90 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Thor/THK/Vols/Magni U19 - Throttur Reykjavik/SR/Hamar U19 | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Freiburg (W) - Nurnberg (W) | 1.82 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Motagua - CD FAS | 1.83 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 2.07 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Academia Puerto Cabello - Caracas | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Cartagines - Sporting San Jose | 1 | 1.84 | 1.04% | 08 Aug 04:00 |
| Ferrymead Bays - Nomads United | 1 | 1.95 | 1.04% | 08 Aug 04:45 |
| University NSW - Sydney Olympic | 1 | 1.93 | 1.04% | 08 Aug 07:30 |
| SD Raiders - Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 1 | 2.09 | 1.31% | 08 Aug 09:00 |
| Banik Sokolov - FK Usti nad Labem B | 1 | 1.77 | 1.04% | 08 Aug 10:15 |