Nelson Suburbs vs Ferrymead Bays
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Nelson Suburbs. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Nelson SuburbsValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.10. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.01% based on n=821 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Southern League (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Nelson Suburbs has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Nelson Suburbs – Ferrymead Bays Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Connecticut Legends (W) - New England Mutiny (W) | 3.20 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | FC Marchfeld Donauauen - Rapid Vienna II | 3.10 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | FK Jablonec - Pafos FC | 3.10 | 0.01% |
| WIN | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Dalian Kewei | 3.00 | 0.01% |
| WIN | Club Deportes Santa Cruz - Audax Italiano | 3.00 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Rio Barra - Tigres do Brasil | 3.10 | 0.01% |
| WIN | CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves - Real Pilar Reserves | 3.10 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Slovan Galanta - OFK Malzenice | 3.00 | 0.01% |