Nelson Suburbs – Ferrymead Bays

Model: TipTromba35H

Nelson Suburbs – Ferrymead Bays

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 24, 2026 4:00 AM
ResultLOSS2 - 3
StartStarted 2d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.01% · n=821
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3d 1h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Nelson Suburbs Ferrymead Bays
Last 5 form L-W-L-L-W W-D-W-W-W
Avg goals scored 2.40 2.40
Avg goals conceded 2.80 0.80
Home/Away form L-L-W-W (home) W-D-W-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 3.25 scored / 2.00 conceded 2.25 scored / 1.00 conceded
Shots on target 7.80 for / 6.00 against 4.40 for / 2.20 against
Home/Away shots on target 11.75 for / 6.25 against (home) 5.00 for / 2.75 against (away)

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Nelson Suburbs's attacking profile.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.28First seen
Current3.10Now
Max odds3.50Highest point
Min odds2.28Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Nelson Suburbs – Ferrymead Bays Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.10. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.01% across 821 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample28
Win Rate17.9%
Profit-12.49u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSShijiazhuang Gongfu FC - Meizhou Hakka3.000.01%
WINFram Reykjavik (W) - Thor/KA Akureyri (W)3.120.01%
LOSSHB Køge - Hobro IK3.010.01%
WINCD Coria - Real Oviedo B3.100.01%
LOSSFBK Karlstad - FC Arlanda3.000.01%
WINAS Kariya - Gakunan F Mosuperio3.000.01%
LOSSPodhale Nowy Targ - Warta Poznan3.020.01%
LOSSThai Nguyen (W) - Ha Noi (W)3.000.01%
Pick
1 @ 3.10
Kickoff
Mag 24, 2026 4:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.01% • n=821
Start
Started 2d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 3d 1h ago
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