Model: TIPPSH
Nelson Suburbs – Nomads United
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.91
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 6:00 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 4
StartStarted 38d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 38d 22h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Nelson Suburbs | Nomads United |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-W-L-W | W-W-W-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-W (home) | W-W-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 3.67 scored / 1.67 conceded | 2.75 scored / 1.75 conceded |
| Shots on target | 8.80 for / 5.40 against | 6.80 for / 5.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 14.33 for / 5.67 against (home) | 6.75 for / 5.75 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Nelson Suburbs has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -20.2%
7D: -21.1%
15D: -6.2%
30D: 8.1%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.25First seen
Current2.00Now
Max odds2.25Highest point
Min odds2.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Nelson Suburbs – Nomads United Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.91. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample292
Win Rate50.7%
Profit-6.41u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Congo DR - Chile | 2.03 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Blacktown City U20 - Rockdale Ilinden FC U20 | 2.00 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Quilmes Reserves - Deportivo Riestra Reserves | 2.15 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Real Sociedad (W) - Atletico Madrid (W) | 2.03 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | IR Reykjavik - IF Vestri | 2.10 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Auckland FC II | 1.84 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Colorado Switchbacks FC - Sacramento Republic | 1 | 1.97 | 3.37% | 14 Jun 03:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.91
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 6:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 38d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 38d 22h ago