New England FC – Vermont Green

Model: TipTromba5H

New England FC vs Vermont Green

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.75
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 02, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 23h 48m
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.69% · n=45
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.69% · n=45
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is New England FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: New England FC

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

73/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.37First seen
Current4.87Now
Max odds5.75Highest point
Min odds4.37Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

New England FCHOME
VS
Vermont GreenAWAY
WLWWW
Recent form
WWWDW
Avg goals scored
1.60
4.80
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.00
Shots on target for
7.00
6.33
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
1.33
Home splitW-W-W-W2.50 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-W-W3.20 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.75. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.69% based on n=45 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL League Two (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.75
V2 BandHIGHROI 7.69% · n=45
V4 BandHIGHROI 7.69% · n=45
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 71.6% 7D: 23.7% 15D: 12.0% 30D: 3.0%
Model insight

New England FC – Vermont Green Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.69% and 7.69%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample20
Win Rate30.0%
Profit+7.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSFC Freienbach - FC Rapperswil-Jona4.757.69%
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WINDalian Kewei - Liaoning Ironman4.506.25%
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Pick
1 @ 4.75
Kickoff
Lug 02, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 7.69% • n=45
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
7.69% • n=45
Start
Starts in 23h 48m
Updated
Updated 11m ago
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