Nykarleby IK – Sporting Kristina

Model: TipTromba35H

Nykarleby IK vs Sporting Kristina

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 02, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 45d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.85% · n=519
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 17h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Nykarleby IK. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Nykarleby IKGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

49/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.23First seen
Current3.10Now
Max odds3.60Highest point
Min odds2.95Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Nykarleby IKHOME
VS
Sporting KristinaAWAY
DLWDW
Recent form
DWLWW
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.80
0.80
Shots on target for
5.80
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
6.80
4.80
Home splitD-W-W-W-D2.60 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitD-W-W-W-W2.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.10. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.85% based on n=519 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kolmonen (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.10
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.85% · n=519
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Nykarleby IK has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 67.9% 7D: 30.2% 15D: 16.4% 30D: 5.6%
Model insight

Nykarleby IK – Sporting Kristina Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.10. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.85% across 519 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample200
Win Rate30.5%
Profit-8.97u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSASD Seravezza Calcio - Pistoiese3.003.85%
LOSSBulls FC Academy - Northern Tigers3.103.85%
LOSSBoroondara Eagles (W) - Bulleen Lions (W)3.103.85%
LOSSEl Nacional - San Antonio FC Cotacachi3.203.85%
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Pick
1 @ 3.10
Kickoff
Lug 02, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.85% • n=519
Start
Started 45d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 17h ago
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