Model: TIPPSH
NK Croatia Zmijavci – NK Jarun
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.89
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 10, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 16d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=212
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=212
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 16d 23h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | NK Croatia Zmijavci | NK Jarun |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-L-D-D | W-L-L-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-D (home) | W-L-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.67 scored / 1.67 conceded | 0.50 scored / 1.25 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.40 for / 2.60 against | 2.60 for / 6.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 7.00 for / 1.67 against (home) | 1.25 for / 5.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. NK Croatia Zmijavci has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.70First seen
Current1.89Now
Max odds1.94Highest point
Min odds1.70Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
NK Croatia Zmijavci – NK Jarun Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.89. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.31% and 4.31%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample279
Win Rate51.3%
Profit-4.05u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Auckland FC II | 1.84 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Jadran Dekani - NK Krka | 1.91 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | North Sunshine Eagles - Langwarrin | 1.75 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CFR Cluj - FC Arges Pitesti | 1.85 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Imisli - FK Karvan | 1.80 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kalmar FF - Degerfors | 1.95 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.89
Kickoff
Mag 10, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.31% • n=212
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.31% • n=212
Start
Started 16d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 16d 23h ago