Nova Iguacu vs Sampaio Correa RJ
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Nova Iguacu. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Nova IguacuValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.13% based on n=183 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie D (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The ELITE confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Nova Iguacu's attacking profile.
Nova Iguacu – Sampaio Correa RJ Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Ceara U20 - Fortaleza U20 | 2.25 | 12.00% |
| WIN | Caroline Springs George Cross U23 - Oakleigh Cannons U23 | 2.00 | 8.59% |
| WIN | Austria U19 (W) - Switzerland U19 (W) | 2.05 | 8.59% |
| LOSS | Comerciantes Unidos - Juan Pablo II College | 2.20 | 8.59% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne (W) - Box Hill (W) | 2.00 | 8.59% |
| LOSS | AC Izabelense - Itupiranga | 2.00 | 8.59% |
| LOSS | New England Mutiny (W) - Hudson Valley Crusaders (W) | 2.25 | 12.00% |
| LOSS | FC Flora Tallinn - Paide Linnameeskond | 2.00 | 8.59% |