FC Flora Tallinn – Paide Linnameeskond

Model: TIPPSH

FC Flora Tallinn vs Paide Linnameeskond

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.15
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 21, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 42d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 43d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Flora Tallinn. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Flora TallinnGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

38/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.07First seen
Current2.17Now
Max odds2.45Highest point
Min odds1.53Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC Flora TallinnHOME
VS
Paide LinnameeskondAWAY
LWLWW
Recent form
WWDDL
Avg goals scored
2.60
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.60
Shots on target for
7.20
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
5.20
Home splitL-L-W-W-W2.80 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-D-L-W-D1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Estonia Meistriliiga (ee). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.15
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. FC Flora Tallinn is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -1.9% 7D: -12.2% 15D: -5.2% 30D: 8.0%
Model insight

FC Flora Tallinn – Paide Linnameeskond Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample298
Win Rate45.6%
Profit-15.46u
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ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINROW 1964 Rybnik - Warta Gorzow2.282.49%
WINTäfteå IK - Gottne IF2.193.37%
LOSSFC Yaypan Fergana - Fardu Ferghana2.153.37%
LOSSHibernian - Motherwell2.282.49%
LOSSBeitar Jerusalem - AEK Larnaca1.953.37%
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Pick
1 @ 2.15
Kickoff
Giu 21, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Started 42d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 43d ago
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