Model: TIPPSA

Nunawading vs Keilor Park

PREDICTION

@ 2.25

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 12, 2026 1:30 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 0

StartStarted 51d 3h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 51d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Keilor Park. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Keilor ParkGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.60First seen

Current2.38Now

Max odds2.60Highest point

Min odds2.38Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NunawadingHOME

Keilor ParkAWAY

WLDLW

Recent form

LWWWW

Avg goals scored

0.80

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.40

0.40

Shots on target for

4.00

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

5.20

3.80

Home splitW-D-W-L-D1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-L0.50 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.25. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Victoria Premier League 2 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.25

V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 12.3% 7D: -4.1% 15D: -3.1% 30D: 12.7%

Model insight

Nunawading – Keilor Park Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample121

Win Rate51.2%

Profit+12.28u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Brommapojkarna - Malmo FF	2.08	1.21%
LOSS	Estrela - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2.23	1.21%
LOSS	FK Ekranas - FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	2.37	0.84%
LOSS	Carina Gubin - Miedz Legnica II	2.19	1.21%
WIN	Sandviken - Kvik Halden FK	2.33	0.84%
WIN	Coritiba - Cruzeiro	2.34	0.84%
LOSS	Hradec Kralove - Tromso	2.11	1.21%
WIN	Yeoju - Dangjin Citizen FC	2.49	0.84%

Pick

2 @ 2.25

Kickoff

Giu 12, 2026 1:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717

Start

Started 51d 3h ago

Updated

Updated 51d 12h ago