Nykarleby IK – FC Kiisto

Model: TipTromba15H

Nykarleby IK vs FC Kiisto

PREDICTION
1
@ 13.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 16, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 15h 45m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.47% · n=27
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23h 37m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Nykarleby IK. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Nykarleby IK

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Balanced

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

39/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds7.00First seen
Current17.00Now
Max odds17.00Highest point
Min odds7.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Nykarleby IKHOME
VS
FC KiistoAWAY
DDLWD
Recent form
DWWLD
Avg goals scored
0.80
2.20
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.20
Shots on target for
5.20
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.80
3.40
Home splitD-D-W-W-W2.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitD-W-W-D-W2.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 13.00. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.47% based on n=27 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kolmonen (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd13.00
V2 BandNONEROI -2.47% · n=27
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Nykarleby IK's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 12.6% 7D: 4.9% 15D: 10.9% 30D: 17.8%
Model insight

Nykarleby IK – FC Kiisto Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 13.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba15H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.47% across 27 similar predictions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample17
Win Rate11.8%
Profit+9.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSBandito Ikoma - FC AWJ13.00-0.94%
LOSSCA Atlanta Women - El Fronton (W)13.00-2.47%
LOSSZwekapin United (W) - Ispe FC (W)13.00-2.47%
LOSSSide FC 92 (W) - Kansas City Current II (W)13.00-0.94%
LOSSCanberra White Eagles U23 - O'Connor Knights U2313.00-2.84%
LOSSSportivo San Lorenzo (W) - Libertad Limpeno (W)13.00-1.81%
LOSSLinyi Yihu U20 - Guangdong GZ-Power U2013.00-1.81%
WINKaisar Kyzylorda (W) - Kairat Almaty (W)13.00-1.81%
Pick
1 @ 13.00
Kickoff
Lug 16, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -2.47% • n=27
Start
Started 15h 45m ago
Updated
Updated 23h 37m ago
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