Sportivo Ameliano (W) – Rubio Nu (W)

Model: TipTromba35H

Sportivo Ameliano (W) vs Rubio Nu (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 16, 2026 7:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 47d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 17h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sportivo Ameliano (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sportivo Ameliano (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

51/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.80First seen
Current3.25Now
Max odds3.77Highest point
Min odds2.80Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sportivo Ameliano (W)HOME
VS
Rubio Nu (W)AWAY
DDLLL
Recent form
DDLWW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.60
Defensive weakness
2.60
2.20
Shots on target for
3.40
2.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
5.60
Home splitD-L-L-L-L0.20 scored / 3.80 conceded
Away splitD-W-D-L-L1.00 scored / 2.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.25. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.14% based on n=423 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Women League (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.25
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 22.1% 7D: 12.7% 15D: 13.8% 30D: 18.8%
Model insight

Sportivo Ameliano (W) – Rubio Nu (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.25. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.14% across 423 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample285
Win Rate29.8%
Profit-13.33u
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Pick
1 @ 3.25
Kickoff
Lug 16, 2026 7:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.14% • n=423
Start
Started 47d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 47d 17h ago
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