Model: TipA1

Chorley vs Scarborough Athletic

PREDICTION

@ 2.60

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 22h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.85% · n=441

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Scarborough Athletic. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Scarborough AthleticGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.014 | A: -0.016

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

55/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.60First seen

Current2.60Now

Max odds2.60Highest point

Min odds2.60Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

ChorleyHOME

Scarborough AthleticAWAY

WLLLD

Recent form

WWLLW

Avg goals scored

0.80

1.80

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.20

Shots on target for

2.40

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

3.00

Home splitL-L-D-L-W0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-D-L1.60 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.60. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.85% based on n=441 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England National League North (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.60

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.85% · n=441

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Scarborough Athletic has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Scarborough Athletic has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 78.8% 7D: -2.0% 15D: 1.8% 30D: 2.8%

Model insight

Chorley – Scarborough Athletic Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.85% across 441 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample190

Win Rate40.0%

Profit+0.92u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Ludogorets Razgrad II - Vihren Sandanski	2.40	4.27%
LOSS	Sertaozinho FC U20 - Mirassol U20	2.55	4.27%
WIN	Shan Utd U20 - Dagon Star United U20	2.70	4.27%
WIN	Gazalkent - Olympic Mobiuz	2.38	4.27%
LOSS	FC Vado - Inter Milan U23	2.35	4.27%
LOSS	AZ Picerno ASD - Barletta	2.70	4.27%
LOSS	Perth SC - Perth RedStar FC	2.63	4.27%
WIN	Santos (W) - Flamengo (W)	2.55	4.27%

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Pick

2 @ 2.60

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.85% • n=441

Start

Starts in 2d 22h

Updated

Updated 13m ago