Model: TipTromba2H

Orsomarso (W) vs Deportivo Pasto (W)

PREDICTION

@ 1.55

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 12, 2026 2:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 7h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.38% · n=1115

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Orsomarso (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Orsomarso (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.055 | A: 0.152

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

6/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.55First seen

Current1.57Now

Max odds1.57Highest point

Min odds1.55Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Orsomarso (W)HOME

Deportivo Pasto (W)AWAY

WDWLL

Recent form

DWLLL

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.60

Shots on target for

4.40

3.80

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

5.20

Home splitW-L-D-W1.75 scored / 0.75 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L0.00 scored / 1.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.55. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Colombia Liga Femenina (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.55

V2 BandNONEROI -3.38% · n=1115

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -1.3% 7D: -0.1% 15D: 9.8% 30D: 9.6%

Model insight

Orsomarso (W) – Deportivo Pasto (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.55. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.38% across 1115 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample486

Win Rate63.2%

Profit+7.04u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) - Resovia Rzeszow (W)	1.62	-3.38%
WIN	VJS Vantaa II - Tips Vantaa	1.65	-3.38%
WIN	Santa Ana - AD Carmelita	1.73	-3.38%
WIN	Young Boys II - Lugano II	1.62	-3.82%
WIN	Sigma Olomouc B - Slovacko II	1.53	-1.89%
WIN	Sao Jose SP - Santo Andre SP	1.50	-3.38%
WIN	Guanabara City U20 - Sao Luiz U20	1.67	-1.89%
WIN	Sporting Hasselt - Belisia Bilzen SV	1.53	-3.38%

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Pick

1 @ 1.55

Kickoff

Ago 12, 2026 2:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.38% • n=1115

Start

Starts in 1d 7h

Updated

Updated 5m ago