Oskarshamns AIK – Nosaby

Model: TipTromba2H

Oskarshamns AIK vs Nosaby

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.67
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 05, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 4d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.22% · n=70
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.22% · n=70
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Oskarshamns AIK. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Oskarshamns AIKGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.173 | A: 0.099

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

24/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.68First seen
Current1.68Now
Max odds1.68Highest point
Min odds1.68Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Oskarshamns AIKHOME
VS
NosabyAWAY
LWWWW
Recent form
WLWLW
Avg goals scored
3.60
2.00
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.60
Shots on target for
7.00
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
8.40
Home splitL-W-W-W-W3.40 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-L-L1.40 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.67. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.22% based on n=70 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.67
V2 BandLOWROI 1.22% · n=70
V4 BandLOWROI 1.22% · n=70
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Oskarshamns AIK has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 22.9% 7D: 9.6% 15D: 14.9% 30D: 7.6%
Model insight

Oskarshamns AIK – Nosaby Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.67. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.22% and 1.22%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample25
Win Rate60.0%
Profit-1.25u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINSalisbury FC - Slough1.531.22%
LOSSShanghai Shenhua U20 - Shenzhen Peng City U201.651.22%
WINBuckley Town - Penrhyncoch1.621.22%
WINRangers - Motherwell1.531.22%
WINGyulai Termal - Szeged-Csanad Grosics II1.671.22%
LOSSKF Arsimi - FK Skopje1.671.22%
WINNorth Lakes United (W) - Caboolture FC (W)1.571.22%
WINFC Levadia Tallinn - Paide Linnameeskond1.601.22%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
BK Hacken - Mjällby AIF11.701.22%11 Sep 19:00
RoPS - OLS11.731.22%12 Sep 13:00
Pick
1 @ 1.67
Kickoff
Set 05, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.22% • n=70
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.22% • n=70
Start
Started 4d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 4d 23h ago
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