Model: TipA1
Osters IF – Ljungskile
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 4
StartStarted 9d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.44% · n=252
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.68% · n=89
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12d 7h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Osters IF | Ljungskile |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-L-D-W | W-W-L-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-W-D (home) | W-L-L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.75 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.25 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.60 for / 6.20 against | 5.40 for / 4.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.75 for / 4.50 against (home) | 4.75 for / 3.75 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Ljungskile shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Ljungskile has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.03First seen
Current3.28Now
Max odds3.28Highest point
Min odds3.03Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Osters IF – Ljungskile Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.25. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.44% across 252 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.68% across 89 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample39
Win Rate23.1%
Profit-9.20u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II - BFA Vilnius | 3.00 | 0.48% |
| LOSS | Hakoah Sydney City East - Dulwich Hill | 3.40 | 1.91% |
| LOSS | Rebordosa - Braganca | 3.10 | 0.77% |
| LOSS | Modena U19 - Avellino U19 | 3.25 | 1.37% |
| LOSS | Victoria Wrzesnia - Kluczevia Stargard | 3.00 | 0.77% |
| WIN | Heerenveen U21 - NEC U21 | 3.20 | 0.77% |
| LOSS | FK Jezero - OFK Mladost DG | 3.20 | 0.77% |
| LOSS | Torpedo Kutaisi - Dila Gori | 3.00 | 0.77% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Recife - Fortaleza | 2 | 3.00 | 0.48% | 28 May 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 3.25
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.44% • n=252
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.68% • n=89
Start
Started 9d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 12d 7h ago