Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj – OFK Petrovac

Model: TIPPSH

Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj vs OFK Petrovac

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.80
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 09, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 1h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Otrant-Olympic UlcinjGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.078 | A: -0.072

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

49/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.55First seen
Current2.80Now
Max odds2.80Highest point
Min odds2.55Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Otrant-Olympic UlcinjHOME
VS
OFK PetrovacAWAY
LWLWW
Recent form
LLLDD
Avg goals scored
1.80
0.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.20
Shots on target for
3.80
2.20
SoT conceded pressure
2.00
2.80
Home splitW-L-W-W-W1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-D-D-D-L0.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.80. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Montenegro Prva Liga (me). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.80
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 15.5% 7D: 14.8% 15D: 6.4% 30D: 10.2%
Model insight

Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj – OFK Petrovac Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.80. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample61
Win Rate42.6%
Profit+11.81u
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Pick
1 @ 2.80
Kickoff
Ago 09, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Start
Starts in 1d 1h
Updated
Updated 5m ago
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