Bury Town – Halesowen

Model: TIPPSH

Bury Town vs Halesowen

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.95
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 08, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarted 1h 19m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3h 21m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bury Town. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Bury TownGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.029

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

50/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.60First seen
Current2.95Now
Max odds2.95Highest point
Min odds2.60Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Bury TownHOME
VS
HalesowenAWAY
LLWDW
Recent form
DDLWW
Avg goals scored
1.40
2.40
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.60
Shots on target for
9.00
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
3.00
Home splitL-L-D-D0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-D-W1.80 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.95. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Southern Premier League Central (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.95
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Bury Town's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -0.2% 7D: 12.6% 15D: 8.7% 30D: 10.9%
Model insight

Bury Town – Halesowen Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.95. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample44
Win Rate38.6%
Profit+5.68u
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LOSSHamburger SV (W) - Everton (W)3.104.53%
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Pick
1 @ 2.95
Kickoff
Ago 08, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Start
Started 1h 19m ago
Updated
Updated 3h 21m ago
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