Parnu JK Vaprus II – JK Tallinna Kalev II

Model: TipA1

Parnu JK Vaprus II vs JK Tallinna Kalev II

PREDICTION
2
@ 5.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 19, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 44d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.58% · n=86
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.39% · n=31
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 44d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is JK Tallinna Kalev II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: JK Tallinna Kalev IIGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

46/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.00First seen
Current5.00Now
Max odds5.00Highest point
Min odds5.00Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Parnu JK Vaprus IIHOME
VS
JK Tallinna Kalev IIAWAY
DWLLL
Recent form
DLWWL
Avg goals scored
2.40
2.60
Defensive weakness
2.80
1.40
Shots on target for
4.60
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
8.40
5.80
Home splitD-W-W-W-D3.60 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitD-L-W-L-W2.40 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 5.00. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.39% based on n=31 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Estonia Esiliiga B (ee). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2
Odd5.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.58% · n=86
V4 BandNONEROI -0.39% · n=31
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, JK Tallinna Kalev II has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. JK Tallinna Kalev II is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -1.9% 7D: -12.5% 15D: -5.1% 30D: 8.3%
Model insight

Parnu JK Vaprus II – JK Tallinna Kalev II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 5.00. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.58% across 86 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.39% across 31 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample15
Win Rate26.7%
Profit+4.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSAlianza Universidad - Sport Huancayo II5.003.58%
WINMontpellier - Cannes5.005.00%
LOSSFC Dordrecht - Borussia Dortmund II4.753.58%
LOSSGrazer AK - SV Kapfenberg4.753.58%
LOSSMetz - Versailles 785.005.00%
LOSSWillem II - FC Eindhoven4.753.58%
LOSSKozarmisleny SE - Pecsi MFC5.003.58%
WINCobresal - La Serena5.003.58%
Pick
2 @ 5.00
Kickoff
Giu 19, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.58% • n=86
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-0.39% • n=31
Start
Started 44d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 44d 15h ago
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