Grazer AK – SV Kapfenberg

Model: TipA1

Grazer AK vs SV Kapfenberg

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.75
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 11, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 10h 34m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.58% · n=86
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.39% · n=31
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8h 35m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SV Kapfenberg. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SV Kapfenberg

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

45/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Grazer AKHOME
VS
SV KapfenbergAWAY
LLDWD
Recent form
WWWLW
Avg goals scored
1.80
2.60
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.00
Shots on target for
4.80
7.40
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
4.00
Home splitL-L-D-D-W2.00 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-W-L2.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.75. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.39% based on n=31 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.75
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.58% · n=86
V4 BandNONEROI -0.39% · n=31
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, SV Kapfenberg shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to SV Kapfenberg's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 122.3% 7D: 6.2% 15D: 36.1% 30D: 13.5%
Model insight

Grazer AK – SV Kapfenberg Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.75. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.58% across 86 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.39% across 31 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample14
Win Rate21.4%
Profit+0.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSKozarmisleny SE - Pecsi MFC5.003.58%
WINCobresal - La Serena5.003.58%
LOSSSouth Hobart (W) - Kingborough Lions (W)5.003.58%
WINJK Viljandi Tulevik - FC Levadia Tallinn U195.003.58%
LOSSParnu JK Vaprus II - JK Tallinna Kalev II5.003.58%
LOSSBecamex HCMC - Hoang Anh Gia Lai5.005.00%
LOSSPuszcza Niepolomice II - MKS Trzebinia-Siersza4.753.58%
LOSSES Zarzis - Bizertin4.755.00%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
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Metz - Versailles 7825.005.00%11 Jul 17:24
Pick
2 @ 4.75
Kickoff
Lug 11, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.58% • n=86
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-0.39% • n=31
Start
Starts in 10h 34m
Updated
Updated 8h 35m ago
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