Model: TipA1

Parnu JK Vaprus vs JK Tammeka Tartu

PREDICTION

@ 2.38

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 11, 2026 3:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 14h

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.14% · n=199

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.14% · n=199

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is JK Tammeka Tartu. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: JK Tammeka Tartu

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

68/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Parnu JK VaprusHOME

JK Tammeka TartuAWAY

LWLDW

Recent form

WWWDL

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.20

0.60

Shots on target for

4.20

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

6.40

3.60

Home splitW-L-W-L-W1.60 scored / 1.80 conceded

Away splitW-W-L-D-L0.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.38. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 11.14% based on n=199 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Estonia Meistriliiga (ee). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.38

V2 BandELITEROI 11.14% · n=199

V4 BandELITEROI 11.14% · n=199

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors JK Tammeka Tartu. The model places this selection in a historically favorable confidence range.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -36.8% 7D: 13.3% 15D: 23.3% 30D: 14.0%

Model insight

Parnu JK Vaprus – JK Tammeka Tartu Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.38. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 11.14% and 11.14%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample17

Win Rate70.6%

Profit+11.40u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Milwaukee Torrent (W) - Bavarian United (W)	2.38	11.14%
WIN	Räppe GOIF - Staffanstorp United	2.50	11.14%
WIN	Gyeongju HNP - Pocheon Citizen FC	2.25	11.14%
WIN	Heidelberg United (W) - Boroondara Eagles (W)	2.25	11.14%
WIN	Minnesota Bliss (W) - St Croix SC (W)	2.35	11.14%
WIN	Moto Club U20 - Maranhao U20	2.20	11.04%
WIN	Heidelberg United (W) - Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	2.45	11.14%
WIN	Paysandu U20 - Atletico Goianiense U20	2.20	11.04%

Pick

2 @ 2.38

Kickoff

Lug 11, 2026 3:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 11.14% • n=199

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

11.14% • n=199

Start

Starts in 3d 14h

Updated

Updated 8m ago