Model: TipTromba25H

Parnu JK Vaprus vs JK Trans Narva

PREDICTION

@ 2.30

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 09, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 0

StartStarted 64d 2h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.94% · n=107

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.94% · n=107

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 66d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Parnu JK Vaprus. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Parnu JK Vaprus

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.29First seen

Current2.30Now

Max odds2.38Highest point

Min odds2.29Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Parnu JK VaprusHOME

JK Trans NarvaAWAY

WLLWW

Recent form

LLLLL

Avg goals scored

1.40

0.00

Defensive weakness

1.20

3.80

Shots on target for

4.20

2.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

6.80

Home splitW-L-D-L1.00 scored / 1.25 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L-L0.20 scored / 4.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.30. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.94% based on n=107 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Estonia Meistriliiga (ee). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.30

V2 BandLOWROI 0.94% · n=107

V4 BandLOWROI 0.94% · n=107

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Parnu JK Vaprus. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Parnu JK Vaprus is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -48.9% 7D: -23.1% 15D: -11.5% 30D: 6.8%

Model insight

Parnu JK Vaprus – JK Trans Narva Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.30. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba25H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 0.94% and 0.94%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample18

Win Rate44.4%

Profit+0.48u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Tukums 2000 - SK Super Nova	2.38	0.43%
LOSS	Tuggeranong Utd (W) - West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)	2.30	0.43%
WIN	Omonia Nicosia - CS Dinamo Bucuresti	2.45	0.43%
WIN	Portugal - Croatia	2.25	0.43%
LOSS	Glenorchy Knights (W) - South Hobart (W)	2.15	0.77%
WIN	Hubei Istar U20 - Ningbo Professional U20	2.10	0.77%
LOSS	Fortaleza CEIF U19 - Llaneros U19	2.38	0.43%
LOSS	Slovenia U19 (W) - Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 (W)	2.38	0.43%

Pick

1 @ 2.30

Kickoff

Mag 09, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.94% • n=107

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

0.94% • n=107

Start

Started 64d 2h ago

Updated

Updated 66d 15h ago