Model: TIPPSH

Glenorchy Knights (W) vs South Hobart (W)

PREDICTION

@ 1.96

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 21, 2026 7:00 AM

ResultLOSS2 - 2

StartStarted 43d 14h ago

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.87% · n=104

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.87% · n=104

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 43d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Glenorchy Knights (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Glenorchy Knights (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

55/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.15First seen

Current2.08Now

Max odds2.20Highest point

Min odds2.08Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Glenorchy Knights (W)HOME

South Hobart (W)AWAY

DWLWW

Recent form

DLLLW

Avg goals scored

3.40

2.00

Defensive weakness

1.00

2.60

Shots on target for

8.60

6.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

8.60

Home splitD-W-W-W4.25 scored / 1.50 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-W-W2.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.96. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.87% based on n=104 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Tasmania Super League Women (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.96

V2 BandELITEROI 8.87% · n=104

V4 BandELITEROI 8.87% · n=104

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model places this selection in a historically favorable confidence range. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Glenorchy Knights (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 5.7% 7D: -3.6% 15D: -4.0% 30D: 8.0%

Model insight

Glenorchy Knights (W) – South Hobart (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.96. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 8.87% and 8.87%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample7

Win Rate57.1%

Profit+0.89u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Versailles 78 - FC Fleury 91	2.15	8.87%
LOSS	Slavia Prague B - FK Pribram	2.01	8.87%
LOSS	Vaengir Jupiters - Ellidi	1.96	8.87%
WIN	Portuguesa Desportos - Marcilio Dias	1.79	8.87%
WIN	Ferroviaria SP - Barra FC	1.90	8.87%
LOSS	Wales - Ghana	1.95	8.87%
WIN	Hapoel Raanana (W) - Maccabi Kishronot Hadera (W)	2.05	9.18%

Pick

1 @ 1.96

Kickoff

Giu 21, 2026 7:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 8.87% • n=104

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

8.87% • n=104

Start

Started 43d 14h ago

Updated

Updated 43d 16h ago