Peninsula Power (W) – The Gap NPL (W)

Model: TipA1

Peninsula Power (W) vs The Gap NPL (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.00
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 24, 2026 2:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 8h
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.48% · n=691
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is The Gap NPL (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: The Gap NPL (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.168 | A: -0.028

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

19/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.86First seen
Current2.00Now
Max odds2.00Highest point
Min odds1.86Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Peninsula Power (W)HOME
VS
The Gap NPL (W)AWAY
LWWLD
Recent form
LWWWL
Avg goals scored
1.80
2.80
Defensive weakness
2.20
3.20
Shots on target for
2.80
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
7.00
5.20
Home splitW-L-W-L1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-W-L2.60 scored / 2.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.00. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.48% based on n=691 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League Women (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.00
V2 BandNONEROI -1.48% · n=691
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. The Gap NPL (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 8.6% 7D: 26.7% 15D: 19.3% 30D: 21.4%
Model insight

Peninsula Power (W) – The Gap NPL (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.48% across 691 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample169
Win Rate48.5%
Profit+1.35u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSInverness CT - St Johnstone2.15-3.85%
WINRyutsu Keizai Dragons - Nihon University2.00-1.48%
LOSSVIFK (W) - PK-35 (W)2.20-3.85%
LOSSBasel - Juventus2.00-1.48%
WINAlmirante Brown Reserves - CA San Telmo Reserves2.00-1.48%
LOSSSao Luiz - CSA2.20-1.48%
LOSSMacarthur Rams (W) - Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)2.00-3.85%
LOSSArgentino Quilmes - Arsenal de Sarandi2.15-1.48%
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Pick
2 @ 2.00
Kickoff
Lug 24, 2026 2:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.48% • n=691
Start
Starts in 2d 8h
Updated
Updated 6m ago
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