Model: TIPPSH
Philadelphia Union II – New York City FC II
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.93
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 14, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 4d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4d 13h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Philadelphia Union II | New York City FC II |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-W-D | W-L-W-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-D-L-L (home) | W-W-L-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded | 1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.20 for / 3.00 against | 4.00 for / 5.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.80 for / 4.00 against (home) | 3.80 for / 5.80 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -30.2%
7D: -1.9%
15D: -6.6%
30D: 12.7%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.71First seen
Current1.81Now
Max odds1.81Highest point
Min odds1.71Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Philadelphia Union II – New York City FC II Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.93. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample223
Win Rate43.9%
Profit-31.89u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Texoma FC - West Texas FC | 1.75 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | CA San Telmo Reserves - CA San Miguel Reserves | 2.03 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Bonsucesso FC - Cabofriense | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Beskid Andrychow - Lewart Lubartow | 1.92 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | FC Iberia 1999 - FC Rustavi | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Throttur Reykjavik (W) - Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 2.02 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Forward Madison FC - Fort Wayne FC | 2.05 | 1.31% |
| WIN | IR Reykjavik - Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 1.94 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Eastern Lions - Springvale White Eagles | 1 | 2.05 | 1.04% | 19 Jun 11:45 |
| Heidelberg Utd - Preston Lions | 1 | 1.91 | 1.31% | 20 Jun 07:00 |
| Western Sydney Wanderers U21 - Sutherland Sharks | 1 | 1.94 | 1.31% | 20 Jun 07:00 |
| Botafogo PB - Volta Redonda | 1 | 2.01 | 1.31% | 20 Jun 22:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.93
Kickoff
Giu 14, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.63% • n=470
Start
Started 4d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 4d 13h ago