Model: TIPPSH
Heidelberg Utd vs Preston Lions
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.81
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 20, 2026 9:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 46d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 46d 7h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Heidelberg Utd. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Heidelberg UtdGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
27/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.91First seen
Current1.85Now
Max odds2.02Highest point
Min odds1.85Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Heidelberg UtdHOME
VS
Preston LionsAWAY
LLWWW
Recent form
WWWLL
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.40
0.40
Shots on target for
6.40
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
5.00
4.40
Home splitL-W-W-W-W2.40 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-W-D0.80 scored / 0.40 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.81. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia NPL Victoria (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.81
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Heidelberg Utd has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 10.0%
7D: -5.4%
15D: -5.3%
30D: 9.4%
Model insight
Heidelberg Utd – Preston Lions Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.81. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample383
Win Rate47.5%
Profit-37.57u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Queanbeyan City - Tuggeranong Utd | 1.92 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Queanbeyan City U23 - Tuggeranong United U23 | 1.88 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 1.82 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Academia de Balompie Boliviano - Real Oruro | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | RTC FC - Thimphu FC | 1.77 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Lillestrøm 2 - Kongsvinger 2 | 1.92 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Torque Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| WIN | St Louis City II - Real Monarchs SLC | 1.83 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| SalPa - JJK | 1 | 1.88 | 1.04% | 05 Aug 17:30 |
| Keflavik - KA Akureyri | 1 | 1.98 | 1.04% | 05 Aug 20:00 |
| Quilmes - Gimnasia Jujuy | 1 | 1.94 | 1.04% | 06 Aug 01:00 |
| El Paso Locomotive FC - Monterey Bay FC | 1 | 1.78 | 1.04% | 06 Aug 03:00 |
| Denver Summit FC (W) - North Carolina Courage (W) | 1 | 1.95 | 1.04% | 06 Aug 04:00 |
| Monaco - Getafe | 1 | 1.96 | 1.04% | 06 Aug 20:00 |
| Gimpo FC - Chungbuk Cheongju | 1 | 1.76 | 1.04% | 07 Aug 12:30 |
Pick
1 @ 1.81
Kickoff
Giu 20, 2026 9:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 46d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 46d 7h ago