Ponnistus – JäPS/47

Model: TIPPSA

Ponnistus vs JäPS/47

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.96
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 04, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS4 - 1
StartStarted 6h 49m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.49% · n=175
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11h 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is JäPS/47. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: JäPS/47Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.101 | A: 0.147

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

19/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.59First seen
Current3.30Now
Max odds3.30Highest point
Min odds1.48Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PonnistusHOME
VS
JäPS/47AWAY
WLWDW
Recent form
LWWWD
Avg goals scored
2.60
2.80
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.60
Shots on target for
4.60
6.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
6.20
Home splitW-W-D-L-D1.80 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-W-D-W-L2.60 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.96. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.49% based on n=175 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kolmonen (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.96
V2 BandNONEROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 BandNONEROI -4.49% · n=175
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. JäPS/47 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -2.7% 7D: -4.8% 15D: 10.9% 30D: 4.8%
Model insight

Ponnistus – JäPS/47 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.96. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.07% and -4.49%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample97
Win Rate39.2%
Profit+15.31u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSNK Nafta 1903 - NK Radomlje2.94-1.07%
LOSSBodrum FK - Esenler Erokspor2.75-1.07%
LOSSSantos - Palmeiras3.08-1.07%
WINFC Arges Pitesti - FCSB2.85-1.07%
LOSSCerro Porteno - Libertad Asuncion3.19-1.07%
WINCasa Pia - Moreirense2.85-1.07%
LOSSNK Naftas Hask - Gaj Mace2.87-1.07%
WINOH Leuven - Standard Liege2.79-1.07%
Pick
2 @ 2.96
Kickoff
Set 04, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.07% • n=461
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-4.49% • n=175
Start
Started 6h 49m ago
Updated
Updated 11h 11m ago
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