Gwardia Koszalin – Iskierka Szczecin

Model: TIPPSA

Gwardia Koszalin vs Iskierka Szczecin

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.26
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 05, 2026 7:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 10h 28m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.84% · n=89
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.84% · n=89
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12h 30m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Iskierka Szczecin. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Iskierka SzczecinGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.005

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

50/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.63First seen
Current3.36Now
Max odds3.44Highest point
Min odds2.63Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Gwardia KoszalinHOME
VS
Iskierka SzczecinAWAY
DWLW
Recent form
DLLWL
Avg goals scored
1.50
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.75
1.40
Shots on target for
4.25
5.80
SoT conceded pressure
7.25
4.80
Home splitD0.00 scored / 0.00 conceded
Away splitD-L-L0.67 scored / 1.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.26. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.84% based on n=89 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland IV Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.26
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.84% · n=89
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.84% · n=89
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Iskierka Szczecin's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 26.6% 7D: 9.1% 15D: 15.6% 30D: 7.2%
Model insight

Gwardia Koszalin – Iskierka Szczecin Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.26. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.84% and 3.84%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample60
Win Rate31.7%
Profit+3.59u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINFenerbahce - Besiktas3.494.77%
LOSSPuerto Montt - Curico Unido3.224.96%
WINCA Atlanta - San Martin SJ3.474.77%
LOSSSandvikens IF - Osters IF3.294.77%
WINFC Sion - Lugano3.274.77%
LOSSAvellino - Vicenza3.513.84%
LOSSCompostela - CD Estradense3.454.77%
LOSSFC Volendam - FC Dordrecht3.254.77%
Pick
2 @ 3.26
Kickoff
Set 05, 2026 7:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.84% • n=89
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.84% • n=89
Start
Started 10h 28m ago
Updated
Updated 12h 30m ago
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