Ponte Preta – Sport Recife

Model: TIPPSH

Ponte Preta – Sport Recife

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.84
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 10, 2026 1:30 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 3
StartStarted 17d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.20% · n=29
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.20% · n=29
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 19d 12h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Ponte Preta Sport Recife
Last 5 form L-L-W-W-L W-W-W-L-W
Avg goals scored 0.80 1.40
Avg goals conceded 1.60 0.60
Home/Away form L-W-L-D (home) W-L-D-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 0.75 scored / 1.25 conceded 1.25 scored / 1.00 conceded
Shots on target 3.80 for / 4.20 against 3.80 for / 3.80 against
Home/Away shots on target 3.75 for / 4.25 against (home) 2.00 for / 4.75 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Ponte Preta. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.59First seen
Current2.84Now
Max odds2.84Highest point
Min odds2.59Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Ponte Preta – Sport Recife Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.84. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.20% and -3.20%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample33
Win Rate27.3%
Profit-7.67u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSHERA United (W) - FC Utrecht (W)2.80-1.00%
LOSSShimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka2.89-2.37%
LOSSAris Limassol - AEK Larnaca2.98-3.20%
WINGreuther Furth - Fortuna Dusseldorf2.59-1.54%
WINSt. Louis City SC - Los Angeles FC2.76-3.20%
LOSSLechia Gdansk - Legia Warsaw2.94-3.20%
WINCeara - Atletico Mineiro2.96-3.20%
WINEl Porvenir - Central Cordoba de Rosario2.75-3.20%
Pick
1 @ 2.84
Kickoff
Mag 10, 2026 1:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.20% • n=29
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.20% • n=29
Start
Started 17d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 19d 12h ago
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