Poxyt – MPS

Model: TipA1

Poxyt vs MPS

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.20
StatusUpcoming
KickoffGiu 28, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 3h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.37% · n=123
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is MPS. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: MPS

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

58/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PoxytHOME
VS
MPSAWAY
LWLLW
Recent form
LDWDL
Avg goals scored
1.80
0.40
Defensive weakness
2.80
0.60
Shots on target for
4.00
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
2.80
Home splitL-W-W-W-W2.60 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitD-D-L-W-D1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.20. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.37% based on n=123 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kolmonen (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.20
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.37% · n=123
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market prices MPS as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 54.2% 7D: -13.3% 15D: -2.0% 30D: -4.1%
Model insight

Poxyt – MPS Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.20. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.37% across 123 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Pick
2 @ 4.20
Kickoff
Giu 28, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.37% • n=123
Start
Starts in 1d 3h
Updated
Updated 12m ago
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