PSG (W) – Lyon (W)

Model: TipTromba6H

PSG (W) – Lyon (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 5.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 10, 2026 5:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 4
StartStarted 16d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.29% · n=11
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.29% · n=11
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 17d 8h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric PSG (W) Lyon (W)
Last 5 form L-W-W-W-W W-W-W-D-L
Avg goals scored 1.80 2.40
Avg goals conceded 1.00 1.20
Home/Away form L-W-W-W (home) W-D-L-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.75 scored / 1.25 conceded 3.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Shots on target 3.80 for / 1.40 against 4.60 for / 4.80 against
Home/Away shots on target 4.00 for / 1.75 against (home) 4.00 for / 4.75 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for PSG (W). The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.50First seen
Current5.86Now
Max odds5.96Highest point
Min odds5.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

PSG (W) – Lyon (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 5.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba6H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.29% and 3.29%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample9
Win Rate11.1%
Profit-3.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSHPS (W) - HJK (W)5.503.63%
WINUniversitario De Vinto - Bolivar5.253.63%
LOSSVevey Sports 05 - FC Bulle5.503.63%
LOSSFC Prague (W) - Lokomotiva BH Herspice (W)5.503.63%
LOSSSellos Colombianos U19 - Atletico Nacional Medellin U195.503.63%
LOSSPinheirense EC U20 - Clube do Remo U205.503.63%
LOSSACE - Pargas IF5.503.63%
LOSSAngelholm - Trelleborgs FF5.253.63%
Pick
1 @ 5.50
Kickoff
Mag 10, 2026 5:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.29% • n=11
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.29% • n=11
Start
Started 16d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 17d 8h ago
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