PSV (W) – Ajax (W)

Model: TIPPSA

PSV (W) vs Ajax (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.14
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 29, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 0
StartStarted 43d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 43d 21h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Ajax (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Ajax (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

32/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.70First seen
Current3.14Now
Max odds3.14Highest point
Min odds2.70Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PSV (W)HOME
VS
Ajax (W)AWAY
WWWDW
Recent form
LWWWW
Avg goals scored
2.20
2.20
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.00
Shots on target for
3.80
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
2.40
Home splitW-W-W-D2.00 scored / 0.25 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-D1.50 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.14. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.07% based on n=461 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Netherlands Cup Women (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.14
V2 BandNONEROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Ajax (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 11.5% 7D: 29.4% 15D: 23.9% 30D: 8.1%
Model insight

PSV (W) – Ajax (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.14. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.07% across 461 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample46
Win Rate34.8%
Profit+3.35u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINAnapolis FC - Botafogo PB3.10-1.07%
WINFC Haka - KTP2.97-1.07%
LOSSValur Reykjavik - Keflavik2.93-1.07%
LOSSAvai - Cuiaba3.20-1.07%
WINSao Bernardo SP - EC Juventude3.22-1.07%
LOSSBelgrano (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)3.02-1.07%
LOSSBlacktown Spartans U20 - Bankstown City Lions U202.94-1.07%
WINAcademia Puerto Cabello II - Zamora II3.15-1.07%
Pick
2 @ 3.14
Kickoff
Mag 29, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.07% • n=461
Start
Started 43d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 43d 21h ago
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