PSV (W) vs Ajax (W)
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Ajax (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Ajax (W)Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.14. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.07% based on n=461 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Netherlands Cup Women (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Ajax (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
PSV (W) – Ajax (W) Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Anapolis FC - Botafogo PB | 3.10 | -1.07% |
| WIN | FC Haka - KTP | 2.97 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Valur Reykjavik - Keflavik | 2.93 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Avai - Cuiaba | 3.20 | -1.07% |
| WIN | Sao Bernardo SP - EC Juventude | 3.22 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Belgrano (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 3.02 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Blacktown Spartans U20 - Bankstown City Lions U20 | 2.94 | -1.07% |
| WIN | Academia Puerto Cabello II - Zamora II | 3.15 | -1.07% |