Model: TipA1

Puebla U19 (W) vs Unam Pumas U19 (W)

PREDICTION

@ 2.40

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 10, 2026 1:45 AM

ResultWIN0 - 1

StartStarted 62d 14h ago

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.72% · n=183

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.72% · n=183

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 63d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Unam Pumas U19 (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Unam Pumas U19 (W)

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

70/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.40First seen

Current2.40Now

Max odds2.42Highest point

Min odds2.40Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Puebla U19 (W)HOME

Unam Pumas U19 (W)AWAY

LDLW

Recent form

WWWL

Avg goals scored

1.00

3.00

Defensive weakness

1.25

0.50

Shots on target for

2.75

7.50

SoT conceded pressure

9.00

1.75

Home splitL-L-W1.00 scored / 1.33 conceded

Away splitW-W3.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.40. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 11.72% based on n=183 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mexico Liga MX U19 Femenil (mx). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.40

V2 BandELITEROI 11.72% · n=183

V4 BandELITEROI 11.72% · n=183

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar ELITE underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Unam Pumas U19 (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -4.9% 7D: -8.4% 15D: -5.2% 30D: 6.1%

Model insight

Puebla U19 (W) – Unam Pumas U19 (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.40. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 11.72% and 11.72%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample17

Win Rate70.6%

Profit+11.40u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Milwaukee Torrent (W) - Bavarian United (W)	2.38	11.14%
WIN	Räppe GOIF - Staffanstorp United	2.50	11.14%
WIN	Gyeongju HNP - Pocheon Citizen FC	2.25	11.14%
WIN	Heidelberg United (W) - Boroondara Eagles (W)	2.25	11.14%
WIN	Minnesota Bliss (W) - St Croix SC (W)	2.35	11.14%
WIN	Moto Club U20 - Maranhao U20	2.20	11.04%
WIN	Heidelberg United (W) - Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	2.45	11.14%
WIN	Paysandu U20 - Atletico Goianiense U20	2.20	11.04%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Parnu JK Vaprus - JK Tammeka Tartu	2	2.38	11.14%	11 Jul 13:30

Pick

2 @ 2.40

Kickoff

Mag 10, 2026 1:45 AM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 11.72% • n=183

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

11.72% • n=183

Start

Started 62d 14h ago

Updated

Updated 63d 1h ago