Puente Alto vs Naval
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Naval. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: NavalValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.39% based on n=268 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Chile Tercera (cl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Naval has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Puente Alto – Naval Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Defensa y Justicia U20 - Belgrano U20 | 2.20 | -1.48% |
| WIN | St. James Swifts (W) - Sion Swifts (W) | 2.05 | -3.85% |
| LOSS | Holland Park Hawks U23 - North Star U23 | 2.10 | -3.85% |
| WIN | Osasco Sporting U20 - Ibrachina U20 | 2.00 | -1.48% |
| LOSS | Selfoss/Arborg U19 - Grotta/Kria U19 | 2.10 | -1.48% |
| LOSS | Ponte Preta U20 - Santos U20 | 2.10 | -1.48% |
| LOSS | FC Honka (W) - EBK (W) | 2.05 | -3.85% |
| LOSS | Rockdale Ilinden FC U20 - NWS Spirit FC U20 | 2.10 | -3.85% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Atyrau - FC Elimai Semey | 2 | 2.15 | -1.48% | 12 Jul 16:00 |
| JK Nomme United II - FC Flora Tallinn II | 2 | 2.15 | -1.48% | 12 Jul 18:00 |
| Ceara (W) - 3B Sport AM (W) | 2 | 2.05 | -1.48% | 12 Jul 20:00 |