Pure Swansea vs Carmarthen
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Pure Swansea. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Pure SwanseaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.167 | A: 0.000Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Wales Championship South (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Pure Swansea is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Pure Swansea – Carmarthen Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Slavija Sarajevo - Sutjeska Foca | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) - Apollon Limassol (W) | 1.67 | -1.89% |
| WIN | FC Kharkiv (W) - KFF Mitrovica (W) | 1.67 | -1.89% |
| WIN | FK Minija - DFK Dainava | 1.53 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Universitatea Cluj - Petrolul Ploiesti | 1.70 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Wroxham - Lowestoft Town | 1.53 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Eyupspor U19 - Alanyaspor U19 | 1.73 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Ferroviario Maputo - Chingale de Tete | 1.73 | -1.89% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Nacional Medellin - Deportivo Cali | 1 | 1.50 | -1.89% | 03 Sep 01:15 |
| HIFK - HPS | 1 | 1.50 | -1.89% | 03 Sep 18:00 |
| FK Mornar Bar - FK Bokelj | 1 | 1.53 | -3.38% | 03 Sep 20:00 |
| Alianza Atletico - UTC Cajamarca | 1 | 1.67 | -3.82% | 04 Sep 22:15 |
| AGF Aarhus - Silkeborg IF | 1 | 1.57 | -1.89% | 05 Sep 18:00 |
| UD Ibiza - Rayo Majadahonda | 1 | 1.57 | -1.89% | 05 Sep 18:00 |
| Banik Ostrava B - Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz | 1 | 1.65 | -3.82% | 06 Sep 14:30 |