Model: TipTromba2H

Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Deportivo Cali

PREDICTION

@ 1.50

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffSet 03, 2026 3:15 AM

ResultPending

StartStarted 23h 51m ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Atletico Nacional Medellin. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Atletico Nacional MedellinGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.007 | A: 0.021

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

11/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.44First seen

Current1.50Now

Max odds1.51Highest point

Min odds1.44Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Atletico Nacional MedellinHOME

Deportivo CaliAWAY

WWWLW

Recent form

DLDWL

Avg goals scored

2.40

1.20

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.20

Shots on target for

8.00

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.40

3.80

Home splitW-W-L-W-W1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-W-W1.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.50. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Colombia Cup (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.50

V2 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157

V4 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Atletico Nacional Medellin's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -15.4% 7D: -8.1% 15D: 11.3% 30D: 3.9%

Model insight

Atletico Nacional Medellin – Deportivo Cali Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.89% and -1.89%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample618

Win Rate64.4%

Profit+21.21u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	MS Shikun Hamizrah - Hapoel Segev Shalom	1.67	-1.89%
WIN	FK Mornar Bar - FK Bokelj	1.53	-3.38%
LOSS	HIFK - HPS	1.50	-1.89%
WIN	Slavija Sarajevo - Sutjeska Foca	1.50	-3.38%
LOSS	FH Hafnarfjordur (W) - Apollon Limassol (W)	1.67	-1.89%
WIN	FC Kharkiv (W) - KFF Mitrovica (W)	1.67	-1.89%
WIN	FK Minija - DFK Dainava	1.53	-3.38%
WIN	Universitatea Cluj - Petrolul Ploiesti	1.70	-1.89%

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Pure Swansea - Carmarthen	1	1.73	-1.89%	04 Sep 20:30
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AGF Aarhus - Silkeborg IF	1	1.57	-1.89%	05 Sep 18:00
UD Ibiza - Rayo Majadahonda	1	1.57	-1.89%	05 Sep 18:00
Villarreal - Deportivo A Coruna	1	1.50	-3.38%	05 Sep 21:00

Pick

1 @ 1.50

Kickoff

Set 03, 2026 3:15 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.89% • n=1157

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-1.89% • n=1157

Start

Started 23h 51m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 2h ago