Model: TIPPSA
Qingdao Red Lions – Tai’an Tiankuang
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 30, 2026 11:30 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 26d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.14% · n=97
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 26d 21h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Qingdao Red Lions | Tai'an Tiankuang |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-W-D-D | D-D-L-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | D-D-D (home) | D-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.33 scored / 1.33 conceded | 0.67 scored / 1.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.40 for / 4.20 against | 4.60 for / 2.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 5.67 against (home) | 3.00 for / 2.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Tai'an Tiankuang's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.75First seen
Current2.35Now
Max odds2.75Highest point
Min odds2.35Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Qingdao Red Lions – Tai’an Tiankuang Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.14% across 97 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample130
Win Rate45.4%
Profit+1.38u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Glasgow City (W) - Rangers (W) | 2.05 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Lobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Radnik Bijeljina - Borac Banja Luka | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | ADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W) | 2.25 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | AFC Hermannstadt - FCSB | 2.26 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Kasimpasa - Galatasaray | 2.27 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Valur Reykjavik - Breidablik | 2.16 | 4.31% |
Pick
2 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Apr 30, 2026 11:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.14% • n=97
Start
Started 26d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 26d 21h ago