Racing Club de Montevideo – Cerro Largo

Model: TIPPSH

Racing Club de Montevideo vs Cerro Largo

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.78
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 68d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 70d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Racing Club de Montevideo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Racing Club de MontevideoGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.79First seen
Current1.78Now
Max odds1.79Highest point
Min odds1.78Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Racing Club de MontevideoHOME
VS
Cerro LargoAWAY
WLDWD
Recent form
LLWLL
Avg goals scored
0.80
0.60
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.20
Shots on target for
2.80
2.40
SoT conceded pressure
1.60
4.00
Home splitW-D-D-W1.25 scored / 0.75 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-D0.75 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.78. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.30% based on n=590 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uruguay Torneo Intermedio (uy). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.78
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Racing Club de Montevideo a useful statistical edge. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 28.9% 7D: 8.1% 15D: -7.0% 30D: -1.2%
Model insight

Racing Club de Montevideo – Cerro Largo Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.78. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample249
Win Rate53.4%
Profit+3.09u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINQueen's Park - Queen of South2.013.37%
LOSSBraga - Celta Vigo2.033.37%
WINDetroit City FC - Indy Eleven1.763.37%
LOSSGold Coast Knights - Wynnum Wolves1.793.37%
LOSSHamrun Spartans - NSI Runavik1.783.37%
WINGimnasia LP (W) - Huracan (W)1.883.37%
LOSSWexford FC - Kerry FC1.903.37%
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Pick
1 @ 1.78
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 68d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 70d 20h ago
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