Hamrun Spartans vs NSI Runavik
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Hamrun Spartans. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Hamrun SpartansValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.77. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Conference League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Hamrun Spartans's attacking profile.
Hamrun Spartans – NSI Runavik Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Gimnasia LP (W) - Huracan (W) | 1.88 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Wexford FC - Kerry FC | 1.90 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Alamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W) | 1.90 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Houston FC - Hill Country Lobos | 1.85 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Beijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan | 1.78 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Jecheon Citizen - Gijang United | 1.88 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Internacional U20 - Gremio U20 | 1.99 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Paysandu - Santa Cruz FC | 1.81 | 3.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |