Racing Santander – CD Alaves

Model: TIPPSA

Racing Santander vs CD Alaves

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.24
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 07, 2026 9:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1h 11m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.76% · n=235
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 52m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CD Alaves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CD AlavesGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.121 | A: 0.012

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

21/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.00First seen
Current2.39Now
Max odds2.42Highest point
Min odds2.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Racing SantanderHOME
VS
CD AlavesAWAY
WLLLD
Recent form
WWDLW
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.40
Defensive weakness
2.00
0.60
Shots on target for
2.40
5.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
3.60
Home splitW-L-W-W-W3.20 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitW-W-D-L-D1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.24. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.76% based on n=235 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.24
V2 BandNONEROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 BandNONEROI -1.76% · n=235
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors CD Alaves. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to CD Alaves's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -13.1% 7D: 30.4% 15D: 4.7% 30D: 12.0%
Model insight

Racing Santander – CD Alaves Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.24. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.84% and -1.76%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample59
Win Rate42.4%
Profit-5.89u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSAEL Limassol - Atromitos Athinon2.01-0.84%
WINHB Torshavn II - B36 Torshavn II2.19-0.84%
WINReal Zaragoza - FC Andorra2.13-0.84%
WINCA Colegiales Reserves - CA San Telmo Reserves2.02-0.84%
WINMFK Zemplin Michalovce - MSK Zilina2.04-0.84%
LOSSCinfaes - AD Marco 092.03-0.84%
LOSSPaysandu (W) - Sociedade Acao (W)2.14-0.84%
LOSSFerencvarosi TC - FC Twente2.20-0.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.24
Kickoff
Ago 07, 2026 9:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.84% • n=515
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.76% • n=235
Start
Starts in 1h 11m
Updated
Updated 52m ago
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