Model: TipTromba2H

Rampla Juniors vs Rocha

PREDICTION

@ 1.80

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 20, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 52d 13h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.17% · n=215

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.17% · n=215

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 53d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Rampla Juniors. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Rampla JuniorsGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

44/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.87First seen

Current1.80Now

Max odds1.87Highest point

Min odds1.80Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Rampla JuniorsHOME

RochaAWAY

WWWWW

Recent form

LLD

Avg goals scored

4.00

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.40

1.67

Shots on target for

7.40

4.67

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

4.67

Home splitW-W-W-W-W4.00 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitL-L0.50 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.80. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.17% based on n=215 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uruguay Primera Division Amateur (uy). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.80

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.17% · n=215

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.17% · n=215

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Historical model data adds support here, as similar HIGH selections have produced encouraging results. Rampla Juniors has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 26.3% 7D: 5.8% 15D: -1.1% 30D: 7.0%

Model insight

Rampla Juniors – Rocha Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.80. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.17% and 6.17%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample264

Win Rate58.3%

Profit+16.11u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Paro FC - Abu Muslim FC	1.95	7.35%
WIN	Leiston - Bishop's Stortford	1.90	6.89%
WIN	Beroe - Ludogorets Razgrad II	1.91	6.89%
WIN	Blooming U19 - Oriente Petrolero U19	1.80	6.89%
WIN	EC Sao Bernardo - Sao Caetano	1.75	7.35%
LOSS	FC Heimo (W) - EPS (W)	1.75	6.89%
LOSS	Miedz Legnica II - Barycz Sulow	1.91	7.35%
WIN	Kagoshima United - Thespa Gunma	1.75	7.35%

Active Similar Predictions

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Pick

1 @ 1.80

Kickoff

Giu 20, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.17% • n=215

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.17% • n=215

Start

Started 52d 13h ago

Updated

Updated 53d 2h ago