Real Madrid (W) B vs Villarreal (W)
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Real Madrid (W) B. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Real Madrid (W) BValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.88% based on n=947 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Primera Federacion Women (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Real Madrid (W) B has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Real Madrid (W) B – Villarreal (W) Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Chapecoense U20 - Figueirense U20 | 1.70 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Seacoast United Phantoms - AC Connecticut | 1.60 | -1.89% |
| WIN | FC Copenhagen - AC Horsens | 1.67 | -1.89% |
| WIN | FC Tucson - Capo FC | 1.70 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Canterbury Bankstown FC - Prospect United | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Port Melbourne U23 - North Sunshine Eagles U23 | 1.60 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Lakeland United FC USL 2 - FC Miami City | 1.53 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Al Nejmeh - Sagesse SC | 1.73 | -1.89% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhode Island FC - Brooklyn FC | 1 | 1.50 | -3.38% | 12 Jul 01:30 |
| Ironbound - Manhattan SC | 1 | 1.65 | -1.89% | 12 Jul 01:30 |
| Managua FC - Rancho Santana FC | 1 | 1.62 | -3.38% | 12 Jul 02:00 |