Model: TipA1
Real Tomayapo – Club Aurora
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.35
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 4:00 AM
ResultWIN0 - 2
StartStarted 10d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.39% · n=969
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.57% · n=364
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11d 15h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Real Tomayapo | Club Aurora |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-L-L-D | W-D-W-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-D-D (home) | W-D-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.50 scored / 0.75 conceded | 1.00 scored / 0.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.00 for / 5.20 against | 7.00 for / 4.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.50 for / 4.25 against (home) | 3.00 for / 3.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Club Aurora has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.35First seen
Current2.35Now
Max odds2.40Highest point
Min odds2.35Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term
Model insight
Real Tomayapo – Club Aurora Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.35. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.39% across 969 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.57% across 364 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample135
Win Rate39.3%
Profit-9.83u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Sao Cristovao U20 - AA Carapebus U20 | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Almirante Brown Reserves - CA San Miguel Reserves | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | HK/Ymir Kopavogur U19 - Thor/THK/Volsungur U19 | 2.40 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | KS Sniadowo - Supraslanka Suprasl | 2.35 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Muang Loei United - Uttaradit FC | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Independencia - Galvez AC | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Sportivo Luqueno - Olimpia Asuncion | 2.35 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | NK Krsko - ND Gorica | 2.50 | 4.27% |
Pick
2 @ 2.35
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 4:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.39% • n=969
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.57% • n=364
Start
Started 10d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 11d 15h ago