Risaleh Toura – Salam Zgharta

Model: TipTromba35H

Risaleh Toura vs Salam Zgharta

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.30
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 04, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 3
StartStarted 12h 22m ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.25% · n=37
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.25% · n=37
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Risaleh Toura. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Risaleh Toura

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

70/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.88First seen
Current3.39Now
Max odds3.39Highest point
Min odds2.88Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Risaleh TouraHOME
VS
Salam ZghartaAWAY
LLLW
Recent form
WW
Avg goals scored
1.25
2.00
Defensive weakness
3.25
1.00
Shots on target for
9.50
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
5.75
7.50
Home splitL2.00 scored / 3.00 conceded
Away splitW-W2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.30. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.25% based on n=37 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lebanon Division 2 (lb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.30
V2 BandELITEROI 9.25% · n=37
V4 BandELITEROI 9.25% · n=37
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Risaleh Toura is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 46.9% 7D: 76.7% 15D: 29.9% 30D: 12.4%
Model insight

Risaleh Toura – Salam Zgharta Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.30. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 9.25% and 9.25%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample20
Win Rate35.0%
Profit+3.15u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINFUS Rabat - RSB Berkane3.308.81%
WINPresidente Hayes - CS Limpeno3.408.81%
LOSSForfar - Montrose3.258.81%
LOSSCamden Tigers SC - South Coast Flame FC3.408.81%
LOSSGremio U20 (W) - Internacional U20 (W)3.259.25%
WINTürkiye - USA3.409.25%
LOSSSwit Szczecin II - Gwardia Koszalin3.259.25%
WINBrazil (W) - USA (W)3.308.81%
Pick
1 @ 3.30
Kickoff
Lug 04, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 9.25% • n=37
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
9.25% • n=37
Start
Started 12h 22m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 5h ago
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