Türkiye vs USA
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Türkiye. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: TürkiyeValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.40. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.25% based on n=37 historical similar picks. The match belongs to World Cup 2026. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Türkiye. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar ELITE underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Türkiye is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Türkiye – USA Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Swit Szczecin II - Gwardia Koszalin | 3.25 | 9.25% |
| WIN | Brazil (W) - USA (W) | 3.30 | 8.81% |
| LOSS | Nacao Esportes U20 - Chapecoense U20 | 3.40 | 9.25% |
| LOSS | FK Rudar Prijedor - Zrinjski Mostar | 3.30 | 8.81% |
| WIN | Al Shahaniya U23 - Al Duhail U23 | 3.25 | 12.54% |
| LOSS | Blagnac - Canet Roussillon | 3.30 | 12.54% |
| LOSS | AS Armee - ASC Gendrim | 3.25 | 12.54% |
| LOSS | Atletico Barinas - Yaracuyanos | 3.30 | 12.54% |