Royal U20 – Guanabara City U20

Model: TIPPSA

Royal U20 vs Guanabara City U20

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.53
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 22, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultWIN0 - 2
StartStarted 6h 5m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.31% · n=19
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.31% · n=19
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8h 7m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Guanabara City U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Guanabara City U20Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.095 | A: -0.154

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

34/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.40First seen
Current3.58Now
Max odds3.58Highest point
Min odds3.40Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Royal U20HOME
VS
Guanabara City U20AWAY
LLWWL
Recent form
WLWLD
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.00
Defensive weakness
2.20
1.00
Shots on target for
5.20
6.40
SoT conceded pressure
5.60
3.60
Home splitL-W-W-D-D1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-L-D-L-W1.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.53. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.31% based on n=19 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Copa Goias U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.53
V2 BandNONEROI -1.31% · n=19
V4 BandNONEROI -1.31% · n=19
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market prices Guanabara City U20 as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Guanabara City U20 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 18.4% 7D: 11.2% 15D: 0.5% 30D: 2.9%
Model insight

Royal U20 – Guanabara City U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.53. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.31% and -1.31%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample15
Win Rate20.0%
Profit-4.21u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINSolihull Moors - Middlesbrough U213.30-1.31%
LOSSPaksi - Kispest Honved3.51-1.31%
LOSSHuehuetecos FC - Deportivo Gomerano3.39-0.79%
LOSSIndependiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas3.61-0.79%
WINDelfin SC - Leones FC3.71-0.79%
LOSSBesiktas - Midtjylland3.31-0.79%
LOSSReal Sociedad - Racing Santander3.50-1.31%
LOSSSacramento Republic - Rhode Island FC3.50-1.31%
Pick
2 @ 3.53
Kickoff
Ago 22, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.31% • n=19
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.31% • n=19
Start
Started 6h 5m ago
Updated
Updated 8h 7m ago
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